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CPB Calculations Put Dutch Parties’ Fiscal Trade-Offs in Sharp Relief

The findings spotlight concrete trade-offs across defence, healthcare deductibles, taxation, education.

Overview

  • the CPB released party-by-party through-calculations today, and politicians immediately used the numbers to tout their plans or attack opponents on social media.
  • across the submissions, parties plan sizable defence budget increases to move toward NATO targets, with GroenLinks–PvdA rising €6.3 billion this term.
  • most programmes keep or raise the health insurance deductible, with only GroenLinks–PvdA and BBB adhering to the planned cut to €165, while VVD, CDA, Volt and JA21 propose €440 and D66, NSC, SGP and CU keep €385.
  • d66 prioritizes education with roughly €5–6.2 billion extra by 2030 and trims care spending by €7.3 billion while raising business taxes, whereas the VVD lowers overall spending by cutting education and sharply reducing development aid.
  • the CPB says further scaling back mortgage-interest relief would cool housing prices, and external economists question the SP’s non-CPB plan over heavy wealth taxes and potential capital flight.