Overview
- Recent judicial moves, capped by a European endorsement of the amnesty and a Constitutional Court plenary expected in early to mid‑October, have created a realistic path for the Supreme Court to remove Puigdemont’s arrest warrant.
- Puigdemont has said he will return to ‘‘immerse’’ himself in Catalonia before choosing one of several options for his future role, including reclaiming a parliamentary seat, staying as party leader without a seat, or stepping back from frontline politics.
- Junts faces an internal contest between pragmatist former Convergència figures and the Puigdemont generation with growing calls for a party congress to settle succession and the party’s direction.
- Polls show Junts sliding toward fourth place with about 16–18 seats and losing voters to Sílvia Orriols’s Aliança Catalana, a dynamic that will shape choices on whether to confront or cooperate with that rival in municipalities and future national votes.
- Public reaction to the expected return has been muted on social media and within the independence movement, and the coming weeks will determine whether municipal results and the 2027 general election timetable force rapid strategic shifts inside Junts.