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Court Blocks Trump Tariffs as Investors Bet on ‘TACO Trade’ Rebounds

A federal ruling to pause emergency-based levies has reinforced investor strategies that capitalize on steep rebounds after presidential policy retreats.

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Stacked shipping containers, gantry cranes, and a construction site are seen at the Yantian International Container Terminal through tree branches, with workers and machinery visible in the foreground, on April 12, 2025 in Shenzhen, China.

Overview

  • TACO trade’—coined by Financial Times columnist Robert Armstrong—describes Trump’s pattern of announcing steep tariffs and then easing them under market or diplomatic pressure.
  • Global stocks plunged on April’s ‘Liberation Day’ duties but consistently recovered as Trump delayed or reduced levies against China and the European Union.
  • A US Court of International Trade ruled in late May that the IEEPA-based tariffs exceeded presidential authority, prompting an appeal and a temporary stay pending a June 9 briefing.
  • Trump defends his tariff shifts as deliberate negotiation tactics, arguing that initial high rates secure better concessions from trade partners.
  • Analysts warn that the EU’s extension of its tariff deadline to July 9 and ongoing legal ambiguity will sustain the ‘TACO trade’ cycle of market swings.