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Costco’s Membership Model Drives Durable Growth as Shares Trade at a Premium

Analysts caution that the stock’s premium price limits near-term upside.

Overview

  • Costco shares sit near all-time highs, drawing scrutiny over a rich valuation despite solid execution.
  • The company’s profit engine centers on membership fees rather than merchandise margins, with gross margins generally capped around 14% to 15%.
  • In fiscal 2025, membership fees generated about $5.3 billion, underpinning net income of $8.1 billion.
  • Customer loyalty remains a strength, with renewal rates exceeding 90% in the U.S. and approaching that level globally.
  • Costco operates roughly 914 warehouses, opens about 20 to 30 locations annually, and reports strong early international demand, including in China.