Overview

• Sen. John Cornyn raised $3.9 million in the second quarter and enters the third quarter with $8.9 million cash on hand, outpacing Attorney General Ken Paxton’s $2.9 million haul.
• Despite Cornyn’s funding edge, multiple polls show Paxton leading by double digits in the Texas Republican Senate primary.
• Campaigns on both sides are courting President Trump’s backing as his team holds off on an endorsement pending a change in primary dynamics.
• Republican leaders are expressing concern that Paxton’s legal troubles and polling strength could undermine the party’s general election prospects in November 2026.
• Private surveys suggest Paxton would face a tight contest against a generic Democratic opponent, giving Democrats fresh optimism about their chances.