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Corn Ends Quiet as Weekly U.S. Sales Disappoint Ahead of USDA Update

The market is balancing a weak weekly sales print against sizable commitments plus record October shipments.

Overview

  • Corn futures ended near unchanged Thursday, with front months fractionally lower and the national cash average at roughly $4.08.
  • USDA logged 377,598 MT in corn export sales for the holiday week of Jan. 1, a marketing‑year low and well under 0.7–1.5 MMT forecasts, though total commitments stand near 50.538 MMT, about 30% above last year.
  • Census data showed a record 6.564 MMT of corn shipped in October, while Brazil’s December exports reached 6.128 MMT, highlighting brisk global flows and stiff competition.
  • EIA reported ethanol output eased to 1.098 million barrels per day as stocks climbed to 22.652 million barrels, a holiday‑period pattern for corn demand signals.
  • With USDA’s WASDE and Crop Production reports due Monday, a Bloomberg survey pegs U.S. corn stocks around 1.985 billion bushels, implying a possible trim from prior estimates.