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CoreWeave Draws Split Calls as Backlog Strength Collides With Delays, Debt and Volatility

Investor focus is on whether a $55 billion backlog can outweigh delivery delays, heavy leverage and valuation risk.

Overview

  • Wedbush’s Dan Ives reinstated CoreWeave to his IVES AI 30 list as a top pick into 2026, with shares rebounding about 7% over the past week but still trading under $100 after sharp swings within a $33.51 to $187.00 range.
  • CoreWeave’s latest quarter showed 134% year-over-year revenue growth to roughly $1.4 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $838 million at a 61% margin, and a reported backlog above $55 billion.
  • Management trimmed 2025 revenue guidance to about $5.05–$5.15 billion after a third‑party data‑center developer fell behind schedule, and the CEO has said he expects partner delays to be resolved by fiscal Q1 2026.
  • Analyses flag substantial leverage with reported total borrowings in the roughly $11–$15 billion range, elevated interest costs, and continued GAAP losses despite strong adjusted EBITDA, raising refinancing and cash‑flow risk.
  • Customer concentration remains disputed, with the company stating no single client exceeds 35% of backlog while some analyses contend Microsoft represented a majority of recent revenue, contributing to ongoing debate over risk.