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Flávio Bolsonaro Picks Alfredo Gaspar as Running Mate and Sticks to a Single-Party Ticket

The choice equips Flávio with a former prosecutor and CPMI relator to press INSS probes to court Northeast voters.

Overview

  • Flávio Bolsonaro announced Alfredo Gaspar as his vice-presidential pick on Wednesday, Aug. 5, after parties in the centrão declined to join the PL coalition.
  • Gaspar is a 55-year-old ex-prosecutor from Alagoas who led the CPMI that investigated INSS frauds and used that role to name figures connected to Fábio Luís Lula da Silva.
  • PL’s failure to secure formal alliances with PP, União Brasil, Republicanos and Podemos leaves the campaign running 'puro-sangue,' which cuts the party’s allotted TV time and national airtime resources.
  • Campaigns and analysts view the pick as a shift toward law-and-order messaging and a direct attempt to exploit federal probes into Lula’s son, while Lula’s allies work to contain reputational damage from those investigations.
  • Recent Genial/Quaest polling shows Lula ahead nationally but within margins that advisors treat cautiously because 2022 final polls underestimated Jair Bolsonaro and could miss a hidden or late-shifting vote.