Overview
- The conference is jointly presided by Turkey for organisation and Australia for negotiations, a split that shapes both the optics and the ability to secure consensus on fossil‑fuel language.
- A Global Carbon Project update presented at COP31 reports a slight fall in fossil CO2 to about 38.2 billion tonnes in 2026 but a rise in total greenhouse gases to roughly 43.3 billion tonnes, leaving only about 150 billion tonnes in the 1.5°C CO2 budget.
- Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan announced on Tuesday that new southeast oil fields could raise domestic production above 100,000 barrels per day by mid‑2027, a declaration critics say undercuts the host’s climate messaging.
- An updated Urgewald database shows roughly 96 percent of oil and gas producers plan expansion and highlights state firm TPAO’s large exploration and production plans, reinforcing NGO demands for a financed, organised phase‑out.
- UN Secretary‑General António Guterres and high‑level delegates urged moving from discussion to concrete, financed fossil‑exit plans, but negotiators face deep divisions and no firm, binding global phase‑out agreement is yet expected.