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COP30 Opens in Belém With Brazil’s Rainforest Fund and a Leadership Gap

Negotiators confront weak pledges on a 2.8°C warming path, with the United States absent.

Overview

  • Brazil launched the Tropical Forest Forever Facility to reward forest protection, seeking roughly $25 billion in public seed money and about $100 billion from private investors, with Brazil committing $1 billion.
  • The European Union arrived with a diluted 2040 target framed as a 90% emissions reduction corridor that allows up to five percentage points via foreign certificates, drawing criticism from experts.
  • Germany backed the Brazilian forest facility in principle but offered no concrete sum, as campaigners pressed Berlin to restore credibility on climate finance and fossil fuel phaseout.
  • Only about one third of countries submitted strengthened national climate plans for the 2035 cycle, and UN analyses warn current policies track toward roughly 2.8°C of warming by 2100.
  • UNHCR reported around 250 million people displaced by climate-related disasters over the past decade, urging that adaptation finance reach communities in conflict-affected states.