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COP30 Misses Early Deal Deadline as Brazil Pushes Fossil-Fuel Roadmap

Brazil’s high-level push follows a missed Wednesday target for a revised text.

Overview

  • Brazil’s two-stage plan to lock in an initial package slipped past the Wednesday target, with a revised draft now due Thursday after overnight talks.
  • Around 80 countries led by Colombia are pressing for a detailed roadmap to transition away from oil, coal and gas, while resistance from oil producers such as Saudi Arabia persists and China has signaled opposition.
  • The EU floated a late proposal for a non‑prescriptive fossil‑fuel roadmap, seeking to broaden support without imposing country‑specific obligations.
  • Finance remains a sticking point, with the presidency draft proposing clearer developed‑country contributions and a tripling of adaptation funding as EU officials signal no increases and debates continue over the $300 billion pledge and trade measures like the EU’s carbon border policy.
  • A separate compromise for COP31 is taking shape with Türkiye set to host and Australia to preside over negotiations, even as plans to launch a UN carbon market are held up by disputes over start‑up funding.