COP30 Enters Decisive Week With Push for Fossil-Fuel Roadmap and Adaptation Finance

Overview

• Ministers took over negotiations in Belém as the presidency floated a collective “mutirão” decision approach, and the COP president pledged to bring demands from the 70,000-strong People’s Summit into high-level talks.
• Scientists and former leaders, including Johan Rockström, Mary Robinson and Juan Manuel Santos, warned there are five days to agree a clear pathway to phase out fossil fuels and protect tropical forests.
• Prospects for a fossil-fuel roadmap remain uncertain, with some negotiators suggesting a voluntary coalition or a commitment to keep talks going next year, even as Germany and Colombia voiced support for a formal route.
• Adaptation remains stuck over global indicators, with the African Group pushing a two-year delay, and several delegations argue that a stronger deal on adaptation finance could unlock mitigation language.
• Developing countries are pressing for up to US$1.3 trillion a year in public finance after a first week dominated by private commitments, including about US$5.5 billion pledged to the Tropical Forests Fund for Ever.