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COP30 Countdown: EU Poised to File New Target as Hosts Promote $1.3 Trillion Finance Roadmap

A shortfall of updated national targets is sharpening pressure for credible delivery at a summit pitched as a move from rules to results.

Overview

  • With the UNFCCC deadline past, only 62 updated NDCs will feature in the synthesis report, and the European Union is expected to submit its delayed update next week.
  • At the Brasília pre‑COP, Brazil’s Marina Silva urged criteria for a gradual fossil‑fuel phaseout, a push facing resistance and currently outside the formal agenda.
  • Brazil and Azerbaijan are advancing a Baku‑to‑Belém financing plan targeting $1.3 trillion by 2035, complemented by Brazil’s $1 billion seed pledge to the Tropical Forests Forever Facility.
  • Belém’s lodging constraints persist, with 87 countries confirmed with rooms and 90 still negotiating, raising concerns over inclusive participation.
  • High‑level attendance is taking shape, with confirmations including Emmanuel Macron, European Council President António Costa and Prince William, and 162 delegations registered to participate.