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5d ago

Conventions Open as Lula’s Map Solidifies and Bolsonaro’s Bid Remains Unsettled

The convention window will decide alliances that reshape campaign resources, leaving Flávio Bolsonaro politically isolated if federations stay neutral.

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'Temos que ser fiéis ao Bolsonaro, fazer tudo o que ele pede, tudo o que ele precisa, para podermos retribuir o que ele fez por nós', disse o presidente do PL, Valdemar Costa Neto.
Eleitorado brasileiro cresce e alcança 158,7 milhões de pessoas aptas a votar nas eleições de 2026, segundo dados do TSE.

Overview

  • Party conventions opened on Monday, July 20, starting the legally fixed period for parties to ratify candidates and alliances ahead of registration on August 15.
  • President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s campaign has largely consolidated after the PT named Patrus Ananias for governor of Minas Gerais, removing a major vulnerability in the second‑largest electoral college.
  • Senator Flávio Bolsonaro’s bid remains unsettled because he has not named a running mate and is still negotiating state‑level palanques, including direct appeals to PP leader Ciro Nogueira and União Brasil leader Antonio Rueda.
  • The federation PP–União Brasil and the Republicanos are signaling neutrality in the presidential race, a posture that reduces shared TV time and formal organizational support for a rival and that could materially weaken Flávio’s national campaign.
  • Conventions run through August 5 and can still change the map in key states such as Goiás, Rio and Ceará, with outcomes determining campaign resources, local job lists and who will have strong ground operations when formal campaigning begins on August 16.