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Consumer Confidence Slips in UK and U.S. as Big‑Ticket Buying Cools

Surveys point to tighter household spending driven by persistent price fatigue.

Overview

  • GfK’s UK consumer confidence index fell to -19 in November, with all five sub-measures down and the major-purchase gauge dropping three points.
  • UK retail sales declined 1.1% in October, signaling a softer start to the crucial Black Friday and Christmas trading period.
  • Pre‑Budget uncertainty has weighed on UK households, with analysts cited by Reuters saying the government may need to raise £20–30 billion, including options such as extending personal tax threshold freezes reported at £8–10 billion.
  • The University of Michigan’s final November U.S. sentiment reading was 51, near historic lows, as consumers reported strained finances and weaker buying conditions for big-ticket items.
  • Year‑ahead U.S. inflation expectations edged down to 4.5%, according to the Michigan survey, which was conducted Nov. 3–17; GfK’s UK poll surveyed 2,003 people from Oct. 30–Nov. 14.