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Constellation Brands Adjusts Strategy Following Tariff-Induced Forecast Cuts

The Trump administration’s 25% tariff on imported beer and aluminum cans prompts the company to lower earnings projections and restructure its portfolio.

  • Constellation Brands has revised its fiscal 2026 earnings forecast downward, projecting adjusted earnings per share of $12.60 to $12.90, below analysts' estimates of $13.97.
  • The company’s revenue model, heavily reliant on Mexican beer imports, faces significant cost pressures due to the newly imposed tariffs on imported canned beer and aluminum cans.
  • In response to financial challenges, Constellation is divesting non-core assets, including mainstream wine brands and spirits like Svedka vodka, to focus on premium products.
  • Medium-term projections for fiscal 2027 and 2028 have also been lowered, with expected enterprise sales growth reduced to 2%-4%, down from prior estimates of 6%-8%.
  • Stock volatility followed the tariff announcement, with shares initially dropping but rebounding after President Trump announced temporary reductions in some trade duties.
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