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Conservatives Lead Narrowly in Abacus Poll as Air Canada Restores Schedule

Cost pressures dominate voter priorities in the latest survey.

Bolstered by five members of the New Brunswick Senior Baseball League and representing New Brunswick, the Charlottetown Islanders celebrate an 8-1 victory over two-time champion Quebec in the gold-medal game of Baseball Canada men's championship at Currie Field in Regina on Aug. 24/25.
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Prime Minister Mark Carney (left) and U.S. President Donald Trump arrive for a photo during the Group of Seven (G7) Summit at the Kananaskis Country Golf Course in Kananaskis, Alta., on June 16, 2025; Shane Bieber #57 of the Toronto Blue Jays looks on from the dugout ahead of play against the Kansas City Royals at the Rogers Centre on Friday.
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Overview

  • An Abacus Data survey conducted Aug. 15–19 shows the Conservatives at 41% and Liberals at 39% among decided voters (n=1,915; ±2.2 points), with 60% citing rising costs as their top issue and fieldwork completed before last week’s Alberta byelection.
  • Statistics Canada will release June and second‑quarter real GDP on Friday, following an advance estimate pointing to a 0.1% gain in June and an essentially flat quarter.
  • Air Canada and its flight attendants reached a tentative agreement after the Aug. 16 walkout; operations are back near full network levels and a ratification vote begins Wednesday, with the deal including wage increases and pay for time on the ground.
  • The Charlottetown Islanders won Baseball Canada’s men’s championship in Regina, defeating Quebec 8–1 after a strike‑disrupted, 31‑hour reroute involving overnight bus travel and multiple flights.
  • Winnipeg police say a Aug. 22 Portage Avenue stop led to the arrests of two 19‑year‑olds and the seizure of nearly $18,000 in fentanyl, a replica handgun, knives and cash; both were released on undertakings pending charges.