Overview

• Fifty percent of Conservative members say Kemi Badenoch should not lead into the next general election, with 46% wanting her to stay.
• Members are split on her prospects, with 49% expecting her to be replaced before the election and 47% thinking she will remain in post.
• When asked who should lead the party, 46% pick Robert Jenrick versus 39% for Badenoch, with the rest choosing neither or unsure.
• Sixty-four percent support an electoral pact with Reform UK at the next election, while 46% would back a full merger and 48% would oppose it.
• In a hung parliament scenario, 93% oppose a coalition with Labour and 73% would welcome one with Reform UK; the YouGov poll surveyed 652 members from 26 Sept to 2 Oct.