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Congress Sets 2026 Budget Debate as Market Strains Challenge Milei’s Targets

Opposition deputies plan to test the plan’s optimistic targets in hearings set to begin this week.

Overview

  • Deputies will open the 2026 budget discussion on Wednesday at 13:00 in the Budget Committee chaired by José Luis Espert, who convened a meeting to define the work plan.
  • The opposition seeks to summon Economy Minister Luis Caputo and central bank chief Santiago Bausili, while the government proposes other economic officials and faces a push to set November 20 as a deadline for a committee report.
  • Financial pressure frames the debate, with the exchange rate already above 1,500 pesos, more than US$1 billion in central bank sales over two days, and a country risk level reported as having doubled in two months.
  • The bill projects 2026 inflation at 10.1%, growth at 5%, a December dollar of 1,423 pesos, a primary surplus of 1.5% of GDP, and a financial surplus of 0.3%, assumptions critics call unrealistic.
  • Spending priorities emphasize pensions, social assistance, health, education and universities—Caputo says 85% goes to human capital—with universities slated for 4.8 billones de pesos, while the plan pairs a lower tax burden with US$17 billion in 2026 debt maturities that narrow fiscal room.