Overview

• Conab estimates total 2025/26 grain production at 354.71 million tons, with planted area rising 3.3% to 84.4 million hectares.
• Soybean area is projected at 49.1 million hectares with a 177.6 million‑ton harvest, and aggregate maize output is seen at 138.6 million tons across three crops.
• Rice production is forecast to decline to 11.47 million tons on a 5.6% cut in area, while cotton lint is projected at 4.03 million tons with slightly lower output despite expanded planting.
• In a separate calendar‑year view, IBGE’s September survey projects the 2025 harvest at a record 341.9 million tons, including 165.9 million tons of soy and 138.4 million tons of maize, up 16.8% from 2024.
• Regional updates show Paraná’s summer corn planting at 90% with generally good conditions, though recent rains and localized pests are delaying operations, and Conab projects Rio Grande do Sul could reach a record 40.9 million tons.