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Common Heart Risk Scores Miss Many First Heart Attacks, Mount Sinai Study Finds

Authors urge research into atherosclerosis imaging to detect silent plaque earlier.

Overview

  • Researchers reviewed 474 patients under age 66 with no known coronary disease who had a first myocardial infarction at two Mount Sinai hospitals between January 2020 and July 2025, simulating risk assessment two days before the event.
  • Using the widely applied ASCVD 10-year calculator, 45% of patients would have been classified as low or borderline risk and not flagged for preventive therapy or testing.
  • The newer PREVENT calculator would have labeled 61% as low or borderline risk despite an imminent heart attack.
  • Sixty percent of patients reported initial symptoms less than 48 hours before their infarction, indicating symptom-based triage often comes too late for prevention.
  • The brief report, published November 21 in JACC: Advances by authors including Anna S. Mueller and Amir Ahmadi, calls for prospective validation and evaluation of imaging-based screening while noting limits of a single health system and a younger cohort.