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Colts’ Pass-Rush Hole Gives Steelers a Blueprint for a Week 9 Upset

Most projections still lean Colts despite the matchup edge for Pittsburgh’s passing game.

Overview

  • The 7-1 Colts enter Week 9 with the NFL’s top offense, averaging 385.3 yards and 33.8 points per game.
  • Analytics highlight Indianapolis’ pass-rush weakness, with a roughly 25% win rate and opponents averaging 2.86 seconds to throw.
  • The secondary has been stressed by injuries, with Charvarius Ward’s concussion issues and coverage lapses contributing to a 29th-ranked pass defense and frequent explosive plays allowed.
  • Pittsburgh’s path centers on an aggressive aerial plan featuring Aaron Rodgers’ growing connection with DK Metcalf, improved protection from a gelling line, and Arthur Smith’s familiarity with Lou Anarumo’s schemes.
  • Betting markets list Indianapolis as a three-point favorite and most staff picks back the Colts, though one local forecast calls for a Steelers upset as Pittsburgh’s defense seeks answers after multiple 30-point concessions.