Overview

• The final CSU outlook projects 16 named storms, eight hurricanes and three major hurricanes for the 2025 Atlantic season.
• Researchers assign a 48% probability of a major hurricane making landfall along the U.S. coastline, above the 43% long-term average.
• Florida carries the highest state-level threat with a 90% chance of tropical storm impact and a 62% chance of hurricane impact within 50 miles.
• Scientists highlight that unusually warm tropical Atlantic waters favor storm development with recent Caribbean wind shear prompting lower confidence in the projections.
• AccuWeather’s unchanged preseason forecast of 13 to 18 storms and seven to 10 hurricanes aligns with expectations for a busier-than-normal season.