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Cologne ‘Dark‑Figure’ Study Finds Youth Crime Underreported and Tied to Mental Health Strains

The report was presented by NRW’s interior minister, signaling possible changes to school security and juvenile law.

Overview

  • University of Cologne researchers surveyed about 3,800 students in grades 7 and 9 at 27 schools in Gelsenkirchen, Herten and Marl, comparing results with a 2015 baseline.
  • Self-reports indicate substantially more offenses than police data capture, with more intensive young offenders and higher levels of property crime and younger pupils’ violence than official figures suggest.
  • The study links elevated offending to increased parental violence, worsening psychological distress—especially among girls—and reduced self-control alongside weaker fear of detection and punishment.
  • School norms deteriorated, with fewer teacher interventions in fights and a sharp fall in moral rejection of minor misbehavior, while heavy social‑media use correlated with higher violence.
  • After several years of increases, youth crime declined in the most recent year studied, as NRW weighs measures such as police presence on schoolyards and a debate over lowering the age of criminal responsibility.