Overview
- Round 1 schedule is locked: Alabama at Oklahoma on Friday night, followed Saturday by Miami at Texas A&M, Tulane at Ole Miss and James Madison at Oregon.
- Consensus lines price Texas A&M -3.5 vs. Miami and Alabama -1 to -1.5 at Oklahoma, with larger numbers on Ole Miss (-17.5 vs. Tulane) and Oregon (-21.5 vs. James Madison).
- ESPN’s FPI lists Texas A&M with roughly a 54% win probability over Miami, making it one of the weekend’s closest projections alongside Alabama–Oklahoma.
- Title futures favor Ohio State (+190) with Indiana (+320) next, followed by Georgia, Oregon and Texas Tech in most markets.
- Analysts and models diverge on the tight games as SportsLine’s Matt Severance backs Oklahoma (+1.5) and Miami (+3.5), while Ole Miss enters with a coaching change from Lane Kiffin to Pete Golding.