Overview
- A west‑to‑east cold front linked to storm 'Eva', which will cross Germany on Thursday, Oct. 1, is forecast to produce showers, isolated thunderstorms and locally heavy rain especially in western and central areas.
- Forecasters expect the front to weaken as it moves east so many parts of eastern Germany may see little or no measurable rain.
- High pressure is likely to build back quickly after the front clears, producing mostly dry, sunny and mild conditions for much of the first October weekend with daytime highs near 20–25°C.
- Experts warn the brief, often intense downpours will mostly run off or evaporate from baked soils and therefore are unlikely to restore low river levels or solve long‑running agricultural drought problems.
- Operational services note deterministic skill falls off after about ten days and while a long‑range CFS run signals a warm, possibly stormy November this remains a model indication rather than a forecast.