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Coinbase Sues Connecticut, Illinois and Michigan to Assert CFTC Control of Prediction Markets

The exchange filed preemptively ahead of a planned January rollout via Kalshi to avert what it calls immediate, irreparable harm.

Overview

  • Coinbase filed federal complaints on Dec. 19 seeking declaratory and injunctive relief that event contracts fall under the Commodity Exchange Act and the CFTC’s exclusive jurisdiction.
  • The actions respond to recent steps by regulators in the three states, including cease‑and‑desist letters that classify certain prediction markets, particularly sports contracts, as illegal gambling.
  • Coinbase argues Congress defined commodities broadly with only narrow exclusions, contending that event-based contracts are derivatives rather than wagers.
  • Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal says prediction markets function as neutral matching exchanges, distinguishing them from sportsbooks that set odds and profit from customer losses.
  • Earlier cases involving Kalshi have yielded mixed rulings in state and federal courts, signaling protracted litigation and potential appellate review as Coinbase prepares a January 2026 launch through Kalshi.