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Coinbase Moves Toward Kalshi-Powered Prediction Markets as Kalshi Lands $1 Billion at $11 Billion Valuation

The twin developments point to prediction markets entering mainstream finance.

Overview

  • Leaked screenshots from researcher Jane Manchun Wong show a Coinbase-branded site offered by Coinbase Financial Markets through Kalshi, with markets spanning economics, sports, science, politics, and technology.
  • The interface in the leaks indicates support for U.S. dollars and USDC, and Coinbase has teased a December 17 livestream for product announcements without denying the prediction-market tests.
  • Coinbase already holds custody of Kalshi’s USDC reserves under a partnership announced on November 13, tying institutional rails to event contracts.
  • TechCrunch reports Kalshi raised about $1 billion at an ~$11 billion valuation led by Sequoia and CapitalG, weeks after a $300 million round, as volumes reached roughly $4.4 billion in October and about $50 billion annualized.
  • Kalshi retains federal clearance to operate in the U.S. but faces state-level legal challenges, while rivals including Polymarket, Gemini, and Crypto.com are accelerating competing prediction-market offerings.