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Coastal Low Forming Off Southeast to Drive Major Tidal Flooding and Strong Winds This Weekend

King‑tide levels plus prolonged onshore flow are set to amplify coastal inundation during multiple high tides.

Overview

  • The low is expected to develop Friday off the Southeast coast and track north, with the strongest impacts forecast Sunday into Monday along the Mid‑Atlantic.
  • Coastal flood watches and advisories are posted, and forecasters in New Jersey expect major flooding around the early‑afternoon high tide Sunday for oceanfront and back bays.
  • Winds are forecast to reach 40–50 mph across parts of Hampton Roads with gusts up to 60 mph along exposed coasts, while Southeast beaches see frequent gusts over 30 mph.
  • Marine hazards will be dangerous with rough surf and a high rip‑current threat, including no‑swimming guidance in Southeast Georgia, and offshore gusts reaching gale to near storm force.
  • Rainfall projections have trended modest for many areas at roughly 1–2 inches, with 2–4 inches possible near the Shore, though inland flood risk still depends on the storm’s exact track.