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Coalition to Cut Net Migration to About 100,000 in Sharp Policy Shift

The move marks a right‑wing pivot that the Coalition says will be budget‑neutral and will tighten rules on temporary visas to reduce long‑term arrivals.

Overview

  • The Coalition will formally unveil a migration policy that targets roughly 100,000 net overseas arrivals in its first year and includes rules to force many temporary visa holders to apply offshore if they change visa type, with caps tied to housing supply.
  • Party sources say final advice from the parliamentary costings office shows the plan is budget‑neutral over four years but those costings have not been released for independent scrutiny.
  • Veteran Nationals MP Barnaby Joyce accused the Coalition of copying One Nation’s hard‑line stance, underscoring a contest on the right after One Nation shifted to an unspecified ‘negative’ migration aim.
  • Economists, business groups and some MPs warn the cuts could worsen labour shortages in health, aged care, construction and major projects and could reduce education export revenue tied to international students.
  • The policy targets a cohort of about three million temporary migrants and aims to curb so‑called ‘visa‑hopping’; the next steps to watch are the Coalition’s full policy release, publication of the PBO costings and party room sign‑off.