Overview

• Newspoll last week put the Coalition at 27% primary support, the lowest since the series began in 1985, with Labor leading 58–42 on two-party preferred.
• Resolve recorded the Coalition on 27% and One Nation at a record 12%, with Labor on 35% and a 55–45 two-party advantage.
• Support for minor parties and independents rose to 38% in Resolve, outpolling either major party on primary votes.
• Polls diverged on Sussan Ley’s standing, with Newspoll reporting a net approval of minus 17 and Resolve finding a net positive rating of about plus nine.
• The slump followed Jacinta Nampijinpa Price’s removal from the shadow ministry and a reshuffle elevating Claire Chandler and Simon Kennedy, as Barnaby Joyce urged a reset focused on cost of living.