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Coalition Loses Majority After SPD Plunge to Five-Year Low

Rising dissent within the SPD has eroded support to the point that the coalition falls short of a majority.

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Overview

  • SPD polling drops to 13 percent in the latest ARD-Deutschlandtrend, its weakest result since January 2020.
  • An INSA survey for BILD puts the party at 14.5 percent, down one point from the previous week.
  • Combined support for the SPD–Union coalition stands at just 42.5 percent, below the threshold for a parliamentary majority.
  • At the late June party congress, co-chair Lars Klingbeil was re-elected with only 64.9 percent backing, underscoring deep factional rifts.
  • The far-right AfD and left-wing parties Die Linke and the Greens have capitalized on SPD losses, each gaining ground in recent surveys.