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Coalition Hits Record-Low Primary Vote as One Nation Surges in New Polls

Conflicting readings of Sussan Ley’s standing underscore volatility during a surge for minor parties.

Overview

  • Newspoll reports the Coalition’s primary vote at 27 percent, its worst on record, with Labor leading 58–42 on two-party preferred.
  • Resolve’s survey likewise places the Coalition on 27 percent and Labor on 55–45 two-party preferred after fieldwork from September 9 to 13.
  • One Nation rises to 10 percent in Newspoll and a record 12 percent in Resolve, with combined support for minor parties and independents reaching 38 percent in Resolve.
  • Ley’s ratings diverge across polls, with Newspoll showing a net approval of minus 17 and Resolve recording a net positive performance rating of plus 9.
  • The slide follows a fractious week for the opposition that included Jacinta Nampijinpa Price’s removal from the shadow ministry and a subsequent frontbench reshuffle.