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Coal Power Falls in India and China in 2025, First Joint Decline in 50 Years

Record clean-energy growth met demand, signaling a potential peak in power-sector emissions.

Overview

  • India’s coal-fired generation fell 3.0% year-on-year in 2025, a drop of about 57 TWh, as non-fossil output expanded.
  • China’s coal power output declined 1.6% in 2025, or roughly 58 TWh, even with electricity demand rising around 5%.
  • India’s non-fossil capacity reached 266.78 GW, with about 35 GW solar, 6 GW wind and 3.5 GW hydro added in the first 11 months of 2025.
  • Analysts attribute India’s decline primarily to record clean-energy growth alongside milder weather and slower underlying demand.
  • CREA cautions that new coal projects could lift India’s coal capacity by roughly 23%, necessitating grid and market reforms, and notes the twin declines are globally significant because China and India drove 93% of power-sector emissions growth since 2015.