Overview
- CNN’s Harry Enten cites a New Hampshire survey putting JD Vance at 51% with Nikki Haley at 9%, a 42‑point advantage.
- Enten says that, reviewing polling archives back to 1980, no non‑sitting candidate has previously cleared 50% in early New Hampshire polling.
- Prediction market data discussed on CNN shows Vance around a 48% chance to be the 2028 GOP nominee, with Marco Rubio near 12% and others below 5%.
- Enten argues New Hampshire’s first‑primary track record links an early lead there to higher odds of ultimately securing the nomination.
- Coverage notes the indicators are early and could change over the next two years as potential candidates make decisions and the race evolves.