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Climate Change Threatens Satellite Sustainability in Earth's Orbit

New research reveals that greenhouse gas emissions are shrinking the upper atmosphere, increasing risks of collisions and reducing satellite carrying capacity.

  • Greenhouse gas emissions are causing the upper atmosphere to cool and contract, reducing atmospheric drag that naturally removes space debris.
  • The shrinking atmosphere increases the lifespan of space junk, heightening the risk of collisions and creating a more hazardous orbital environment.
  • Simulations predict that by 2100, the satellite carrying capacity in low Earth orbit could be reduced by 50-66% if emissions continue to rise.
  • The proliferation of satellite megaconstellations, such as SpaceX's Starlink, is already straining orbital capacity, with frequent collision-avoidance maneuvers required.
  • Experts warn that without emission reductions and better debris management, cascading collisions could render parts of Earth's orbit unusable for future satellites.
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