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Climate Change Linked to 16,500 Additional Heat Deaths in European Cities This Summer

Researchers released an early, model-based snapshot before official figures, attributing several degrees of added summer heat in European cities to human activity.

Overview

  • Rapid attribution analysis of 854 cities estimates 24,400 heat deaths between June and August, with 68%—about 16,500—driven by human-induced warming.
  • Cities were on average 2.2C hotter because of climate change, with local increases up to 3.6C, magnifying mortality risk during multiple heatwaves.
  • The study covers roughly 30% of Europe’s population and highlights likely undercounting, since heat is rarely listed on death certificates and official data lag.
  • Italy and Spain saw the highest climate-linked tolls (4,597 and 2,841 respectively), with major city estimates including Rome 835, Athens 630, Paris 409, Madrid 387, and 1,147 across the UK (315 in London).
  • Older people bore the brunt—85% of excess deaths were in those 65+, 41% over 85—while separate Nature research tied many historical heatwaves to emissions from major fossil-fuel and cement producers, informing accountability debates.