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Climate Analysis Finds 2025 Among Three Hottest Years as 3-Year Average Tops 1.5°C

Researchers attribute deadly extremes to fossil-fueled warming, signaling that communities are nearing adaptation limits.

Overview

  • World Weather Attribution reported that the 2023–2025 global average temperature exceeded the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C benchmark for the first time.
  • Despite a cooling La Niña, scientists say continued burning of coal, oil and gas kept 2025 exceptionally warm.
  • WWA cataloged 157 of the year’s most severe disasters and conducted detailed studies on 22, finding heat waves were the deadliest.
  • Several 2025 heat waves were estimated to be about 10 times more likely because of human-driven warming, according to the analyses.
  • The report cites rapid-intensification events like Hurricane Melissa and highlights a policy gap after UN talks in Brazil ended without a fossil-fuel phaseout plan, even as more adaptation funding was pledged.