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3h ago

Cleitinho Leads Early Minas Gerais Governor Race With 40.6% in Paraná Pesquisas Survey

Alternative candidate lists produce a tight three-way contest, signaling a volatile early field.

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Cleitinho é senador de Minas Gerais pelo Republicanos.
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Overview

  • Senator Cleitinho Azevedo registers 40.6% in a stimulated scenario, opening a sizable early lead for the 2026 governorship.
  • Alexandre Kalil (13.5%), Rodrigo Pacheco (13.0%) and Marília Campos (10.6%) cluster in the next tier within the poll’s 2.6-point margin of error.
  • When Cleitinho is excluded, the race tightens with Kalil at 19.1%, Pacheco at 17.0% and Marília at 15.0%, and another tested list places Aécio Neves at 21.4% ahead of Kalil at 17.8%.
  • In the open-ended question, Cleitinho is the top spontaneous mention at 5.1% while 75.9% do not name a candidate, indicating broad indecision.
  • The Oct. 1–5 survey of 1,505 voters carries a 2.6-point margin of error and reports Gov. Romeu Zema’s approval at 63.6%.