Overview
- The controller’s analysis estimates 14,646 additional homes by 2045 in a high-growth case, about 40% of the 36,000 units San Francisco must plan for by 2031.
- Projected affordability gains are modest, with typical monthly rents falling by roughly $75 to $125 and sale prices dropping by low single-digit percentages.
- A low-growth scenario forecasts 8,504 added units and about a 2.5% price decline, while the high-growth model implies roughly a 4.2% drop in prices.
- The report anticipates 500 to 1,000 additional demolitions over two decades, alongside projected GDP gains of hundreds of millions of dollars and thousands of jobs.
- YIMBY groups urge added incentives and streamlining, critics press for public investment, and advocacy organizations threaten legal action as the board moves toward final decisions.