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CIS November Barometer: PSOE Leads at 32.6%, Gap Over PP Narrows to 10 Points

Fieldwork captured voter sentiment during the first week following Junts’ break with the government after Mazón’s resignation.

Overview

  • The CIS estimates PSOE at 32.6%, PP at 22.4%, and Vox at 18.8% in vote intention.
  • The PSOEPP distance shrank to about ten points versus October, with the Socialists down roughly 2.2 points.
  • Sumar stands at 7.1% and Podemos at 4.0% in the latest readout.
  • Fieldwork ran November 3–12 with 4,028 interviews by the state pollster chaired by José Félix Tezanos.
  • The snapshot follows Junts halting talks with the government, Mazón’s resignation in Valencia and subsequent PP–Vox negotiations, plus high-profile judicial cases referenced in national debate.