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Circle Shares Top $200 as Wall Street Divides Over Valuation and Risks

Regulatory clarity from the GENIUS Act teamed with a Fiserv partnership to drive shares past $200, sparking split analyst forecasts over valuation, cost and rate risks.

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Overview

  • Shares have climbed more than 85% in the past month and over 500% since the June IPO, outperforming the S&P 500 and trading above $200 in early July.
  • A late-June deal with Fiserv aims to integrate USDC stablecoin payments into traditional banking and merchant services, expanding Circle’s market reach.
  • The Senate’s adoption of the GENIUS Act established formal stablecoin backing and transparency requirements, reassuring investors while potentially opening the field to new competitors.
  • Mizuho’s initiation of coverage with an Underperform rating and $85 target highlighted Circle’s 50% revenue share with Coinbase, rising distribution costs and potential rate-cut pressure on reserve yields.
  • Analyst price targets range from $80 to $250, reflecting polarized views on Circle’s growth prospects amid regulatory shifts, interest-rate sensitivity and competitive threats.