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China’s Reported U.S. Soybean Buys Lift Futures to 17-Month High

Traders await USDA verification of flash-sale notices plus Reuters-reported COFCO bookings.

Overview

  • Private exporters reported 792,000 metric tons of U.S. soybeans sold to China for the 2025/2026 marketing year.
  • Reuters reported that state-run COFCO bought at least 14 U.S. soybean cargoes, roughly 840,000 metric tons, for December–January shipment.
  • Chicago soybean futures surged as much as 3.2% and reached a 17-month peak following reports of renewed Chinese buying.
  • U.S. processing strength added support, with NOPA members posting a record October crush of about 227.6 million bushels.
  • Official USDA data through November 12 still show limited confirmed U.S. soybean sales to China, and analysts note execution risks from South American competition, including Argentine meal clearing Chinese customs.