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China's Rare Earth Export Controls Escalate Global Supply Chain Risks

New licensing requirements disrupt U.S. defense supply chains and drive up critical mineral prices, prompting efforts to expand domestic and allied production.

A view of the MP Materials rare earth open-pit mine in Mountain Pass, California, U.S. January 30, 2020. REUTERS/Steve Marcus/File Photo
FILE - NioCorp Chief Operating Officer Scott Honan tells a group of investors about the plans for a proposed mine in southeast Nebraska, on Oct. 6, 2021 in Elk Creek, Neb. (AP Photo/Josh Funk, File)
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Overview

  • China's licensing restrictions on seven medium and heavy rare earth elements, including terbium and dysprosium, have caused supply disruptions and price surges globally.
  • MP Materials, the sole operator of the U.S.'s only rare earth mine, has ceased ore shipments to China and is expanding on-site refining capabilities to mitigate dependency.
  • The price of terbium has surged 24% since late March, reflecting the immediate market impact of China's export controls.
  • The U.S. and allies are accelerating investment in rare earth mining and processing projects, but regulatory and technical challenges mean results will take years to materialize.
  • China's dominance in rare earth production and processing, controlling 90% of global processing capacity, continues to pose a strategic challenge for U.S. defense readiness and technology industries.