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China's Perspective on U.S. Presidential Candidates: Little Difference Seen

Chinese analysts view both Harris and Trump as maintaining a confrontational stance toward Beijing, reflecting bipartisan U.S. consensus.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen speaks during a media conference at NATO headquarters in Brussels, Belgium, Feb. 24, 2022 (AP photo by Virginia Mayo).
U.S. President Joe Biden leaves the stage after delivering a speech outside Independence Hall, in Philadelphia, Penn., Sept. 1, 2022 (AP photo by Matt Slocum).
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Overview

  • Chinese strategists see minimal policy differences between a Harris or Trump administration regarding China.
  • Both U.S. parties are unified in treating China as a significant strategic competitor.
  • Trump's potential return could mean more aggressive trade policies, while Harris is expected to continue Biden's coalition-building approach.
  • Despite changes in U.S. leadership, China anticipates ongoing strategic competition and limited cooperation.
  • Chinese officials emphasize noninterference in U.S. elections but warn against using China as a campaign issue.