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China’s Nvidia Alternative Push Gathers Pace as H20 Sales Stall and Cambricon Soars

Political pressure for domestic chips plus security scrutiny of H20 has kept Chinese demand muted despite reopened U.S. export licensing.

Overview

  • Nvidia acknowledged zero H20 sales to China in Q2 and said it expects none in Q3, citing geopolitical issues disclosed on its earnings call.
  • Chinese regulators have warned that the H20 poses security risks and questioned Nvidia executives, prompting companies to favor local suppliers.
  • Cambricon’s market value roughly doubled this month to about Rmb580 billion as investors backed its software‑compatible AI chips; the firm reported a Rmb1 billion first‑half profit and is receiving expanded SMIC capacity, according to reports.
  • Beijing’s “AI Plus” policy and a new chip‑model alliance are accelerating domestic GPU efforts across Huawei and startups including Moore Threads, Biren, Enflame, MetaX, and Hygon, though analysts say the eventual market leaders remain uncertain.
  • Despite restrictions, reporting points to ongoing black‑market inflows of advanced Nvidia GPUs into China, with U.S. prosecutors announcing charges tied to alleged smuggling via Malaysia and Singapore.