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China's Manufacturing Hits 12-Month High as Stimulus Boosts Recovery

March PMI reaches 50.5, but U.S. tariff hikes and slowing exports threaten sustained growth.

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Employees work at a bio plant factory of Hanmi Pharm in Pyeongtaek, South Korea, July 1, 2021. Picture taken July 1, 2021.   REUTERS/Heo Ran/File Photo
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Overview

  • China's official manufacturing PMI rose to 50.5 in March 2025, its highest level in a year, signaling expansion in factory activity.
  • The increase was driven by government stimulus measures and a post-Lunar New Year production boost, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.
  • New orders for March improved, with a subindex rising to 51.8, but export orders remained weak at 49, reflecting ongoing external demand challenges.
  • U.S. President Donald Trump has imposed 20% additional tariffs on Chinese goods, with further tariff announcements expected on April 2, 2025.
  • Chinese policymakers aim to achieve a 5% growth target for 2025, leveraging fiscal and monetary measures, but face risks from trade tensions and a slowing global economy.