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China’s J-10 Jets Reportedly Outperform Rafales in Pakistan-India Aerial Clash

The May 7 encounter marks the first real-world test of Chinese-made fighters against Western jets, raising questions about military technology, markets, and strategic dynamics.

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The F-47 fighter jet and the YFQ-42A and YFQ-44A combat drones are being developed under Washington’s Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) initiative. Photo: US Air Force

Overview

  • Pakistan claims its Chinese-made J-10C jets, equipped with PL-15 missiles, downed Indian Rafale fighters, although India has not confirmed or denied the incident.
  • The clash is being hailed as a milestone for China’s defence industry, showcasing the combat capabilities of its modern weaponry for the first time.
  • Investor reactions saw Avic Chengdu Aircraft shares rise by 20.6% while Dassault Aviation shares dropped 6.2%, reflecting reassessments of Chinese and Western defence technologies.
  • China, which accounted for 5.9% of global arms exports between 2020 and 2024, may see increased interest from developing nations if its weapons prove reliable in combat.
  • Analysts caution against drawing broad conclusions from a single engagement, citing factors like radar systems and missile guidance as critical variables in future outcomes.