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China’s Factory Activity Contracts in January, Reversing Recent Growth

The Lunar New Year holiday and weak domestic demand contribute to a manufacturing slowdown, with PMI falling below expectations.

  • China's official manufacturing PMI dropped to 49.1 in January, signaling contraction after three months of expansion and missing analysts' forecasts of 50.1.
  • The decline is partly attributed to the Lunar New Year holiday, as many workers leave cities to return home, disrupting factory operations.
  • Non-manufacturing PMI, covering services and construction, also weakened, falling to 50.2 from 52.2 in December, reflecting slower growth in these sectors.
  • Despite meeting its 2024 growth target of 5%, China's economy remains challenged by weak domestic demand, elevated unemployment, and ongoing deflationary pressures.
  • US President Donald Trump's proposed tariffs on Chinese imports, potentially as high as 60%, threaten to further strain China’s export-reliant economy in 2025.
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