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China's EV Market Poised to Surpass 50% of New Car Sales in 2025

As Shanghai Auto Show begins, domestic leaders like BYD dominate, while regulators tighten scrutiny on autonomous driving after a fatal crash.

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Overview

  • Chinese officials project that over half of new car sales in 2025 will be new-energy vehicles (NEVs), continuing rapid growth from 47% in 2024.
  • BYD leads the domestic market, capturing 29% of Q1 2025 sales—more than the next four competitors combined.
  • Tesla's entry in 2020 spurred innovation and price competition, halving EV costs in China but leading to market consolidation and startup failures in 2024.
  • Tech giants Xiaomi and Huawei expand into the EV sector, with Xiaomi launching its first electric sedan in 2024 and Huawei supplying software to automakers.
  • Following a fatal March crash involving a Xiaomi vehicle on autopilot, regulators have issued warnings to manufacturers about overstating autonomous driving capabilities.